SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 72.98%. A draw had a probability of 17.1% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 9.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.47%) and 3-0 (9.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Morecambe |
72.98% ( 0.12) | 17.08% ( -0.07) | 9.93% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 45.55% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.46% ( 0.16) | 42.54% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.05% ( 0.16) | 64.94% ( -0.16) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.79% ( 0.07) | 10.21% ( -0.07) |
