SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cork City win with a probability of 39.1%. A win for Dundalk had a probability of 32.72% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cork City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.06%) and 2-0 (7.38%). The likeliest Dundalk win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cork City | Draw | Dundalk |
39.1% ( 4.41) | 28.18% ( -0.28) | 32.72% ( -4.13) |
| Both teams to score 46.9% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.8% ( 0.75) | 59.19% ( -0.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.38% ( 0.58) | 79.62% ( -0.58) |
| Cork City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.55% ( 3.12) | 29.45% ( -3.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.55% ( 3.66) | 65.45% ( -3.66) |
| Dundalk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.47% ( -2.34) | 33.53% ( 2.34) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 29.84% ( -2.64) | 70.16% ( 2.64) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cork City | Draw | Dundalk |
| 1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.62)2-0 @ 7.38% ( 0.99)3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.5)3-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.62)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1% ( 0.22)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.25)Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.1% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.28)2-2 @ 4.41% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.18% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( -1.05) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.53)0-2 @ 5.9% ( -1)1-3 @ 2.63% ( -0.38)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.53)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.45% Total : 32.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Shamrock RoversShamrock | 23 | 13 | 7 | 3 | 47 | 20 | 27 | 46 |
| 2 | Derry CityDerry | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 39 |
| 3 | St Patrick's AthleticSt Patrick's | 23 | 12 | 3 | 8 | 39 | 31 | 8 | 39 |
| 4 | DundalkDundalk | 23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 30 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Bohemians | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 30 | 20 | 10 | 35 |
| 6 | Shelbourne | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 30 |
| 7 | Drogheda UnitedDrogheda | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 8 | Sligo RoversSligo | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 23 |
| 9 | Cork City | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 21 |
| 10 | University College DublinUCD | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 13 | 50 | -37 | 9 |
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