SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.56%) and 0-2 (6.66%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 2-1 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Real Madrid in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
32.97% ( -0.09) | 24.63% ( 0.07) | 42.39% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.31% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( -0.35) | 44.62% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.01% ( -0.34) | 66.98% ( 0.34) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.91% ( -0.22) | 26.08% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.86% ( -0.3) | 61.13% ( 0.3) |
| Real Madrid Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.88% ( -0.14) | 21.11% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.04% ( -0.22) | 53.95% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sevilla | Draw | Real Madrid |
| 2-1 @ 7.74% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.4% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 4.97% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.69% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.41% Total : 32.97% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.51% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.63% | 1-2 @ 8.95% ( 0) 0-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 6.66% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.64% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.34% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.65% Total : 42.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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