SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 41.99%. A win for Elche had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.78%). The likeliest Elche win was 1-0 (9.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Elche | Draw | Sevilla |
30.83% ( -0.34) | 27.18% ( -0) | 41.99% ( 0.35) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.02% ( -0.09) | 55.98% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.93% ( -0.07) | 77.07% ( 0.08) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.81% ( -0.29) | 33.19% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.21% ( -0.32) | 69.79% ( 0.33) |
| Sevilla Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.69% ( 0.15) | 26.31% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 38.56% ( 0.19) | 61.44% ( -0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Elche | Draw | Sevilla |
| 1-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 2.61% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.5% Total : 30.83% | 1-1 @ 12.86% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 27.18% | 0-1 @ 11.65% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 3.46% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.14% Total : 41.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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