SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Girona win with a probability of 52.25%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Espanyol had a probability of 22.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Girona win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.85%), while for a Espanyol win it was 0-1 (7.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Girona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
52.25% ( 0.15) | 24.97% ( -0.03) | 22.77% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 49.53% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.44% ( -0.01) | 52.56% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.78% ( -0.01) | 74.22% ( 0.01) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.9% ( 0.06) | 20.1% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.65% ( 0.09) | 52.35% ( -0.09) |
| Espanyol Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.98% ( -0.12) | 38.01% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.22% ( -0.12) | 74.78% ( 0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Girona | Draw | Espanyol |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.04)2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.26% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)Other @ 2.7% Total : 52.24% | 1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.64% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.88% Total : 24.97% | 0-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.15% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.59% Total : 22.77% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
