SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rayo Vallecano win with a probability of 48.79%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Girona had a probability of 25.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rayo Vallecano win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.25%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (8.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
48.79% ( 0.11) | 25.83% ( -0.07) | 25.38% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.71% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.33% ( 0.25) | 53.67% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.84% ( 0.21) | 75.16% ( -0.2) |
| Rayo Vallecano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.98% ( 0.15) | 22.02% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.66% ( 0.23) | 55.34% ( -0.23) |
| Girona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.75% ( 0.1) | 36.25% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 26.96% ( 0.1) | 73.04% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Rayo Vallecano | Draw | Girona |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.27% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 9.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.68% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.12% Total : 48.79% | 1-1 @ 12.25% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.89% Total : 25.82% | 0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0)0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)Other @ 1.88% Total : 25.39% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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