SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 52.52%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.44%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Osasuna win it was 0-1 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Getafe in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Getafe.
| Result | ||
| Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
52.52% ( 0.47) | 27.49% ( 0.16) | 19.99% ( -0.64) |
| Both teams to score 39.66% ( -1.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.32% ( -1.04) | 63.68% ( 1.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.04% ( -0.75) | 82.95% ( 0.75) |
| Getafe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.34% ( -0.25) | 24.66% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.82% ( -0.35) | 59.18% ( 0.35) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.64% ( -1.33) | 47.36% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 17.24% ( -1.01) | 82.75% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Getafe | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 16.34% ( 0.5) 2-0 @ 11.44% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 8.56% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.99% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 1.49% ( -0.09)4-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.07% Total : 52.5% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 11.67% ( 0.44)2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.4% Total : 27.48% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.2)0-2 @ 3.26% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.1)Other @ 2.3% Total : 19.99% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
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