SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 38.09%. A win for Cadiz had a probability of 34.27% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.97%). The likeliest Cadiz win was 1-0 (10.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Osasuna in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Osasuna.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
34.27% ( -0.76) | 27.64% ( -0.21) | 38.09% ( 0.97) |
| Both teams to score 48.76% ( 0.55) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43% ( 0.72) | 57% ( -0.73) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.11% ( 0.57) | 77.89% ( -0.58) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.65% ( -0.13) | 31.35% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.29% ( -0.15) | 67.71% ( 0.15) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.03% ( 0.93) | 28.97% ( -0.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.14% ( 1.14) | 64.86% ( -1.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Osasuna |
| 1-0 @ 10.53% ( -0.33) 2-1 @ 7.57% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 6.11% ( -0.22)3-1 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.26% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.26)2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.08)Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.64% | 0-1 @ 11.25% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.17)0-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.17)1-3 @ 3.34% ( 0.15)0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0.14)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.6% Total : 38.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 37 | 28 | 4 | 5 | 69 | 18 | 51 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 37 | 24 | 5 | 8 | 74 | 35 | 39 | 77 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 37 | 23 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 31 | 37 | 76 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 37 | 20 | 8 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 15 | 68 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 37 | 19 | 6 | 12 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 63 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 37 | 17 | 8 | 12 | 45 | 40 | 5 | 59 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 35 | 41 | -6 | 50 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 37 | 14 | 8 | 15 | 46 | 42 | 4 | 50 |
| 9 | GironaGirona | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 57 | 53 | 4 | 49 |
| 10 | Rayo Vallecano | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 49 |
| 11 | Sevilla | 37 | 13 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 49 |
| 12 | Mallorca | 37 | 13 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 47 |
| 13 | Valencia | 37 | 11 | 8 | 18 | 41 | 44 | -3 | 41 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 29 | 52 | -23 | 41 |
| 15 | Getafe | 37 | 10 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 41 |
| 16 | Almeria | 37 | 11 | 7 | 19 | 46 | 62 | -16 | 40 |
| 17 | Celta Vigo | 37 | 10 | 10 | 17 | 41 | 52 | -11 | 40 |
| 18 | Real ValladolidValladolid | 37 | 11 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 39 |
| R | Espanyol | 37 | 8 | 12 | 17 | 49 | 66 | -17 | 36 |
| R | ElcheElche | 37 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 29 | 66 | -37 | 24 |
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