SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cadiz win with a probability of 38.71%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 34.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cadiz win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cadiz in this match.
| Result | ||
| Cadiz | Draw | Celta Vigo |
38.71% ( -0.52) | 27.24% ( 0.11) | 34.06% ( 0.41) |
| Both teams to score 49.97% ( -0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% ( -0.34) | 55.47% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.34% ( -0.28) | 76.66% ( 0.28) |
| Cadiz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.12% ( -0.46) | 27.88% ( 0.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.51% ( -0.59) | 63.49% ( 0.59) |
| Celta Vigo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.28% ( 0.1) | 30.72% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 33.03% ( 0.12) | 66.97% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cadiz | Draw | Celta Vigo |
| 1-0 @ 10.93% 2-1 @ 8.25% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.99% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.9% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 10.1% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 7.62% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.97% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.1% Total : 34.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
