Atletico will certainly be the fresher of the two teams, which is likely to count for a lot in this type of match. Real Betis have been so impressive in the league this season, though, and we believe that the home team will have enough quality to secure a share of the spoils on Sunday night.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 33.07% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.72%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 1-0 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
