SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 68.25%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Elche had a probability of 11.29%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.4%) and 3-0 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (4.89%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
68.25% ( 0.53) | 20.46% ( -0.15) | 11.29% ( -0.38) |
| Both teams to score 39.89% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47% ( -0.3) | 53% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.41% ( -0.25) | 74.59% ( 0.25) |
| Athletic Bilbao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.41% ( 0.07) | 14.59% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.33% ( 0.14) | 42.67% ( -0.14) |
| Elche Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 46.71% ( -0.88) | 53.29% ( 0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 13.16% ( -0.56) | 86.83% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletic Bilbao | Draw | Elche |
| 1-0 @ 14.96% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 14.4% ( 0.24)3-0 @ 9.24% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.82% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.1)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.04)5-1 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 68.24% | 1-1 @ 9.42% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.09)2-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.41% Total : 20.46% | 0-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.06)Other @ 1.89% Total : 11.29% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Barcelona | 38 | 28 | 4 | 6 | 70 | 20 | 50 | 88 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 75 | 36 | 39 | 78 |
| 3 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 70 | 33 | 37 | 77 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 21 | 8 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 71 |
| 5 | Villarreal | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 40 | 19 | 64 |
| 6 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 60 |
| 7 | Osasuna | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 42 | -5 | 53 |
| 8 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 51 |
| 9 | Mallorca | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 37 | 43 | -6 | 50 |
| 10 | GironaGirona | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 58 | 55 | 3 | 49 |
| 11 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 49 |
| 12 | Sevilla | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47 | 54 | -7 | 49 |
| 13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 53 | -10 | 43 |
| 14 | CadizCadiz | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 30 | 53 | -23 | 42 |
| 15 | Valencia | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 42 |
| 16 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 42 |
| 17 | Almeria | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 49 | 65 | -16 | 41 |
| R | Real ValladolidValladolid | 38 | 11 | 7 | 20 | 33 | 63 | -30 | 40 |
| R | Espanyol | 38 | 8 | 13 | 17 | 52 | 69 | -17 | 37 |
| R | ElcheElche | 38 | 5 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 67 | -37 | 25 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
