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La Liga | Gameweek 18
Dec 19, 2021 at 3.15pm UK
San Mames
RB
Athletic Bilbao
3 - 2
Real Betis
Williams (2', 72'), de Marcos (89')
Zarraga (58')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Juanmi (6'), Fekir (52')
Fekir (49'), Rodriguez (58'), Pellegrini (90+2')

We said: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Real Betis

Real Betis are a team to be taken extremely seriously this season, and it will be fascinating to see whether they are capable of claiming a top-four spot. Pellegrini's side will be searching for their 11th league win of the season this weekend, but we are expecting draw specialists Athletic to hold the visitors here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Betis win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Betis win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.19%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 (8.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.

Result
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
32.13%25.76%42.1%
Both teams to score 54.15%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.11%71.88%
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8%29.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86%65.13%
Real Betis Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.47%23.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.43%57.56%
Score Analysis
    Athletic Bilbao 32.13%
    Real Betis 42.1%
    Draw 25.76%
Athletic BilbaoDrawReal Betis
1-0 @ 8.45%
2-1 @ 7.53%
2-0 @ 5.21%
3-1 @ 3.09%
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 32.13%
1-1 @ 12.23%
0-0 @ 6.87%
2-2 @ 5.45%
3-3 @ 1.08%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.76%
0-1 @ 9.94%
1-2 @ 8.85%
0-2 @ 7.19%
1-3 @ 4.27%
0-3 @ 3.47%
2-3 @ 2.63%
1-4 @ 1.55%
0-4 @ 1.26%
2-4 @ 0.95%
Other @ 2%
Total : 42.1%

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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona33264360114982
2Atletico MadridAtletico33216660263469
3Real Madrid33215769323768
4Real Sociedad33187843291461
5Villarreal331661147341354
6Real BetisBetis32147113937249
7Athletic Bilbao321381143321147
8GironaGirona32128125045544
9Osasuna33128132935-644
10Rayo Vallecano321110113841-343
11Sevilla32118133847-941
12Mallorca32118133135-441
13Celta Vigo33109143846-839
14Almeria33106174258-1636
15CadizCadiz33811142649-2335
16Real ValladolidValladolid32105172955-2635
17Valencia3397173640-434
18Getafe33810153042-1234
19Espanyol32710153853-1531
RElcheElche3337232564-3916
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