Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 66.74%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.91%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Real Madrid in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Real Madrid.
