MX23RW : Tuesday, October 11 20:12:20
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Nov 3, 2021 at 5.45pm UK at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Real Madrid
2 - 1
Shakhtar
Benzema (14', 61')
Mendy (39'), Casemiro (63')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Fernando (39')
De Zerbi (55'), Dentinho (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 57.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Shakhtar Donetsk had a probability of 19.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Shakhtar Donetsk win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.

Result
Real MadridDrawShakhtar Donetsk
57.11%23.15%19.73%
Both teams to score 50.82%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.29%48.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.18%70.81%
Real Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.18%16.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.2%46.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.1%38.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.37%75.63%
Score Analysis
    Real Madrid 57.11%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 19.73%
    Draw 23.15%
Real MadridDrawShakhtar Donetsk
1-0 @ 11.66%
2-0 @ 10.39%
2-1 @ 9.82%
3-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 5.83%
3-2 @ 2.75%
4-0 @ 2.75%
4-1 @ 2.6%
4-2 @ 1.23%
5-0 @ 0.98%
5-1 @ 0.93%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.11%
1-1 @ 11.01%
0-0 @ 6.54%
2-2 @ 4.63%
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.15%
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 5.2%
0-2 @ 2.92%
1-3 @ 1.64%
2-3 @ 1.46%
0-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 19.73%

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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal980123101324
2Manchester CityMan City97203392423
3Tottenham HotspurSpurs962120101020
4Chelsea85121310316
5Manchester UnitedMan Utd85031315-215
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle9351179814
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton8422149514
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10Liverpool82422012810
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12Everton924389-110
13West Ham UnitedWest Ham9315810-210
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16Aston Villa9234711-49
17Southampton9216817-97
18Wolverhampton WanderersWolves9135312-96
19Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest9126722-155
20Leicester CityLeicester91171524-94
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La Liga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona87102011922
2Real Madrid87101971222
3Athletic Bilbao85211751217
4Atletico MadridAtletico8512147716
5Real BetisBetis8512105516
6Real Sociedad85121311216
7Valencia8413148613
8Osasuna841398113
9Villarreal8332103712
10Rayo Vallecano83141012-210
11Celta Vigo8314914-510
12Mallorca823379-29
13Real ValladolidValladolid8224613-78
14GironaGirona82151114-37
15Almeria8215712-57
16Getafe8215816-87
17Espanyol81341116-56
18Sevilla8134814-66
19CadizCadiz8125316-135
20ElcheElche8026419-152
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