Athletic have not beaten Getafe away from home in the league since January 2016, but we just have a feeling for the Basque outfit here. Marcelino's side are certainly due a victory in Spain's top flight, and it would not be a surprise to see them shade a close contest on Monday night.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 37.36%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 30%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.37%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (12.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
