We said: Alaves 1-1 Getafe
Each of the last four league matches between these two sides have finished level, while the points have been shared in five of their last six La Liga contests. Getafe will believe that they have the better team on paper, but the Deep Blue Ones have struggle for wins this season, and we are predicting another draw here.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 42.56%. A win for Alaves had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.48%) and 1-2 (8.19%). The likeliest Alaves win was 1-0 (10.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
