Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 43.87%. A win for Elche had a probability of 28.8% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Elche win was 0-1 (9.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Alaves in this match.
