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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Dec 19, 2020 at 5am UK
Mizuho Athletic Stadium
Nagoya Grampus
1 - 0
Hiroshima
Maeda (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the J1 League clash between Nagoya Grampus and Sanfrecce Hiroshima.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Sanfrecce Hiroshima had a probability of 31.6% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.31%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 0-1 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nagoya Grampus in this match.

Result
Nagoya GrampusDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
40.61%27.79%31.6%
Both teams to score 47.7%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.95%58.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.27%78.72%
Nagoya Grampus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.97%28.03%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.32%63.68%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.28%33.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.63%70.37%
Score Analysis
    Nagoya Grampus 40.61%
    Sanfrecce Hiroshima 31.59%
    Draw 27.79%
Nagoya GrampusDrawSanfrecce Hiroshima
1-0 @ 12.02%
2-1 @ 8.31%
2-0 @ 7.64%
3-1 @ 3.52%
3-0 @ 3.24%
3-2 @ 1.92%
4-1 @ 1.12%
4-0 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 40.61%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.45%
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.79%
0-1 @ 10.27%
1-2 @ 7.1%
0-2 @ 5.59%
1-3 @ 2.57%
0-3 @ 2.02%
2-3 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.59%

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Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe149322992030
2Yokohama F MarinosYokohama1483328151327
3Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus147521811726
4Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers147252014623
5Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima137241712523
6Cerezo OsakaCerezo147251815323
7Consadole SapporoConsadole146443125622
8Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa126331611521
9Avispa Fukuoka145541516-120
10FC Tokyo145451719-219
11Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki145361718-118
12Sagan Tosu145361417-318
13Albirex Niigata144461520-516
14Kyoto Sanga144191622-613
15Kashiwa ReysolReysol14266917-812
16Yokohama FCYokohama FC143381231-1912
17Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare132562124-311
18Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka141491330-177
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