Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Kashiwa Reysol had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 (7.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
