Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win with a probability of 47.6%. A win for Nagoya Grampus had a probability of 26.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sanfrecce Hiroshima win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sanfrecce Hiroshima would win this match.
