Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 37.85%. A win for Sagan Tosu had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Sagan Tosu win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
