SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
| 6 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 38 | 9 | 63 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | Vissel Kobe | 38 | 26 | 73 |
| 4 | Kashima Antlers | 38 | 26 | 69 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 38 | 14 | 66 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nagoya Grampus win with a probability of 39.91%. A win for Kashima Antlers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nagoya Grampus win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Kashima Antlers win was 0-1 (10.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Kashima Antlers |
39.91% ( 1.06) | 28.03% ( -0.25) | 32.06% ( -0.82) |
| Both teams to score 47.16% ( 0.51) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
