MX23RW : Tuesday, March 25 23:24:40
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Tuesday, March 25
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SN
Friendlies 1
Mar 25, 2025 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena
NI

Sweden
5 - 1
N. Ireland

Holm (7'), Nygren (32'), Sema (59'), Isak (64'), Elanga (77')
Saletros (69')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Price (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Sweden
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
All competitions
International Friendlies
Last Game: N. Ireland 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies

We said: Sweden 1-1 Northern Ireland

Northern Ireland's recent run deserves a lot of respect, and we fancy them to make it six games unbeaten on Tuesday night; Sweden are the favourites and will have home advantage, but O'Neill's side should be able to claim a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 81.59%. A draw has a probability of 12.8% and a win for Northern Ireland has a probability of 5.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 2-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 3-0 (12.66%) and 1-0 (11.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (6.06%), while for a Northern Ireland win it is 0-1 (2.32%).

Result
SwedenDrawNorthern Ireland
81.59% (5.023 5.02) 12.85% (-2.982 -2.98) 5.57% (-2.039 -2.04)
Both teams to score 38.81% (-0.918 -0.92)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61% (5.623 5.62)39% (-5.622 -5.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.68% (5.669 5.67)61.32% (-5.667 -5.67)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.64% (2.49 2.49)7.36% (-2.489 -2.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.45% (6.117 6.12)26.56% (-6.116 -6.12)
Northern Ireland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
41.89% (-2.175 -2.18)58.11% (2.177 2.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.35% (-1.221 -1.22)89.66% (1.224 1.22)
Score Analysis
    Sweden 81.57%
    Northern Ireland 5.57%
    Draw 12.85%
SwedenDrawNorthern Ireland
2-0 @ 14.55% (-0.24 -0.24)
3-0 @ 12.66% (1.23 1.23)
1-0 @ 11.15% (-1.61 -1.61)
4-0 @ 8.26% (1.634 1.63)
2-1 @ 7.9% (-0.695 -0.69)
3-1 @ 6.87% (0.23 0.23)
4-1 @ 4.48% (0.633 0.63)
5-0 @ 4.31% (1.239 1.24)
5-1 @ 2.34% (0.555 0.56)
6-0 @ 1.88% (0.688 0.69)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.065 -0.07)
4-2 @ 1.22% (0.099 0.1)
6-1 @ 1.02% (0.329 0.33)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 81.57%
1-1 @ 6.06% (-1.361 -1.36)
0-0 @ 4.28% (-1.232 -1.23)
2-2 @ 2.15% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 0.37%
Total : 12.85%
0-1 @ 2.32% (-0.879 -0.88)
1-2 @ 1.64% (-0.511 -0.51)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 5.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luxembourg 1-0 Sweden
Saturday, March 22 at 5pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Sweden 6-0 Azerbaijan
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 2-2 Sweden
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 1-1 Switzerland
Friday, March 21 at 7.45pm in International Friendlies
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 N. Ireland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Belarus
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 5-0 Bulgaria
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 0-0 N. Ireland
Saturday, October 12 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 1-0 N. Ireland
Sunday, September 8 at 5pm in Nations League


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