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Friendlies 1
Mar 22, 2025 at 5pm UK
Stade de Luxembourg
SN

Luxembourg
vs.
Sweden

 

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 N. Ireland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
All competitions
Last Game: Sweden 6-0 Azerbaijan
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League

We say: Luxembourg 0-5 Sweden

Sweden's immense form in the final third makes them favourites, particularly given they could field both Isak and Gyokeres together. Additionally, Luxembourg have struggled for some time and have often been beat, and they are unlikely to avoid defeat on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Sweden win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Luxembourg has a probability of 28.02% and a draw has a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sweden win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (9.41%) and 0-2 (7.79%). The likeliest Luxembourg win is 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.41%).

Result
LuxembourgDrawSweden
28.02% (-0.64 -0.64) 24.27% (0.082999999999998 0.08) 47.71% (0.558 0.56)
Both teams to score 56.81% (-0.748 -0.75)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.62% (-0.773 -0.77)45.38% (0.773 0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.29% (-0.743 -0.74)67.71% (0.744 0.74)
Luxembourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.24% (-0.85499999999999 -0.85)29.76% (0.855 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.17% (-1.05 -1.05)65.82% (1.05 1.05)
Sweden Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.88% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)19.12% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.24% (-0.131 -0.13)50.75% (0.129 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Luxembourg 28.02%
    Sweden 47.71%
    Draw 24.27%
LuxembourgDrawSweden
2-1 @ 6.92% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-0 @ 6.9% (0.065 0.07)
2-0 @ 4.18% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.79% (-0.116 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-0 @ 1.69% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 3.23%
Total : 28.02%
1-1 @ 11.41% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.111 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.69% (0.186 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.059 -0.06)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.27%
1-2 @ 9.44% (0.043000000000001 0.04)
0-1 @ 9.41% (0.285 0.29)
0-2 @ 7.79% (0.217 0.22)
1-3 @ 5.21% (0.011 0.01)
0-3 @ 4.29% (0.11 0.11)
2-3 @ 3.15% (-0.069 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.15%
0-4 @ 1.78% (0.041 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 3.19%
Total : 47.71%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Luxembourg 2-2 N. Ireland
Monday, November 18 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Bulgaria
Friday, November 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Belarus 1-1 Luxembourg
Tuesday, October 15 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Bulgaria 0-0 Luxembourg
Saturday, October 12 at 5pm in Nations League
Last Game: Luxembourg 0-1 Belarus
Sunday, September 8 at 2pm in Nations League
Last Game: N. Ireland 2-0 Luxembourg
Thursday, September 5 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 6-0 Azerbaijan
Tuesday, November 19 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 2-1 Slovakia
Saturday, November 16 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Estonia 0-3 Sweden
Monday, October 14 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Slovakia 2-2 Sweden
Friday, October 11 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Sweden 3-0 Estonia
Sunday, September 8 at 7.45pm in Nations League
Last Game: Azerbaijan 1-3 Sweden
Thursday, September 5 at 5pm in Nations League


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