Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Salvador win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Guatemala had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Salvador win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.12%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Guatemala win was 0-1 (10.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
