Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 53.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Belize had a probability of 21.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Belize win it was 0-1 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guatemala would win this match.
