SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Trinidad and Tobago | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| 3 | Cuba | 3 | -7 | 3 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guatemala win with a probability of 39.92%. A win for Dominican Republic had a probability of 32.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Guatemala win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.27%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Dominican Republic win was 1-0 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Guatemala |
32.38% ( 0.03) | 27.7% ( -0.11) | 39.92% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.49% ( 0.39) | 57.51% ( -0.4) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.69% ( 0.31) | 78.3% ( -0.31) |
| Dominican Republic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.11% ( 0.23) | 32.88% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.54% ( 0.25) | 69.45% ( -0.25) |
| Guatemala Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( 0.23) | 28.16% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.15% ( 0.29) | 63.85% ( -0.3) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dominican Republic | Draw | Guatemala |
| 1-0 @ 10.3% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 7.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.69% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.12% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.58% Total : 32.38% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.26% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.7% | 0-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 7.44% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.49% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 39.91% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Arsenal | 28 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 66 | 26 | 40 | 69 |
| 2 | Manchester CityMan City | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 67 | 25 | 42 | 61 |
| 3 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 26 | 15 | 5 | 6 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 50 |
| 4 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 28 | 15 | 4 | 9 | 52 | 40 | 12 | 49 |
| 5 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 26 | 12 | 11 | 3 | 39 | 19 | 20 | 47 |
| 6 | Liverpool | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 47 | 29 | 18 | 42 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 31 | 15 | 42 |
| 8 | Brentford | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 34 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Fulham | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 37 | 1 | 39 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 28 | 1 | 38 |
| 11 | Aston Villa | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Crystal Palace | 28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | 22 | 38 | -16 | 27 |
| 13 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 41 | -19 | 27 |
| 14 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 35 | 44 | -9 | 26 |
| 15 | Everton | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 22 | 40 | -18 | 26 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 22 | 49 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Leicester CityLeicester | 27 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 25 |
| 18 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 24 | 34 | -10 | 24 |
| 19 | Bournemouth | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 24 |
| 20 | Southampton | 28 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 23 |
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