SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 50.96%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 22.28%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (8.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
50.96% ( -0.31) | 26.76% ( 0.1) | 22.28% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 44.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.59% ( -0.15) | 59.41% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.22% ( -0.12) | 79.79% ( 0.12) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.52% ( -0.2) | 23.49% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.5% ( -0.3) | 57.51% ( 0.3) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.62% ( 0.13) | 42.39% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 21.23% ( 0.11) | 78.77% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 14.42% 2-0 @ 10.44% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.86% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.49% Total : 50.95% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 9.95% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0)Other @ 0.58% Total : 26.75% | 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 5.31% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.09% Total : 22.28% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 26 | 19 | 4 | 3 | 38 | 12 | 26 | 61 |
| 2 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 26 | 19 | 2 | 5 | 51 | 14 | 37 | 59 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 53 | 14 | 39 | 56 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 26 | 15 | 9 | 2 | 43 | 15 | 28 | 54 |
| 5 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 38 | 24 | 14 | 40 |
| 6 | Volos | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 29 |
| 8 | AtromitosAtromitos | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 29 | -4 | 29 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 26 | 4 | 13 | 9 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | 24 | 41 | -17 | 23 |
| 12 | Ionikos | 26 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 42 | -26 | 18 |
| 13 | LamiaLamia | 26 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 | 45 | -32 | 17 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 38 | -24 | 17 |
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