SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 77.55%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 6.71%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 2-0 with a probability of 16.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.12%) and 3-0 (12.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.16%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (3.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| AEK Athens | Draw | OFI Crete |
77.55% ( 0.51) | 15.73% ( -0.17) | 6.71% ( -0.35) |
| Both teams to score 35.66% ( -1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.49% ( -0.57) | 47.5% ( 0.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.28% ( -0.52) | 69.71% ( 0.52) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.66% ( -0.01) | 10.34% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.2% ( -0.03) | 33.79% ( 0.03) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 39.77% ( -1.33) | 60.23% ( 1.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 9.23% ( -0.69) | 90.76% ( 0.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| AEK Athens | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 2-0 @ 16.03% ( 0.36) 1-0 @ 14.12% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 12.12% ( 0.26)2-1 @ 8.13% ( -0.17)4-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 6.15% ( -0.13)4-1 @ 3.49% ( -0.08)5-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.1)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.17% Total : 77.54% | 1-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.14) 0-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.15)2-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.28% Total : 15.73% | 0-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.12)Other @ 1.74% Total : 6.71% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AEK AthensAEK Athens | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | 49 | 11 | 38 | 56 |
| 2 | PanathinaikosPanathinaikos | 24 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 34 | 12 | 22 | 55 |
| 3 | OlympiacosOlympiacos | 25 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 50 | 13 | 37 | 53 |
| 4 | PAOKPAOK | 25 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 42 | 15 | 27 | 51 |
| 5 | Volos | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 37 | -6 | 39 |
| 6 | Aris ThessalonikiAris | 25 | 11 | 4 | 10 | 35 | 23 | 12 | 37 |
| 7 | AtromitosAtromitos | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 25 | 26 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | PanetolikosPanetolikos | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 28 |
| 9 | OFI CreteOFI Crete | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 32 | -9 | 26 |
| 10 | Asteras TripolisAsteras | 25 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 19 | 29 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | PAS GianninaPAS Giannina | 25 | 4 | 11 | 10 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 23 |
| 12 | LamiaLamia | 25 | 2 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 44 | -32 | 16 |
| 13 | Ionikos | 25 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 15 | 42 | -27 | 15 |
| 14 | LevadiakosLevadiakos | 25 | 2 | 8 | 15 | 12 | 38 | -26 | 14 |
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