Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 60.71%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 15.82%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.61%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.89%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for AEK Athens in this match.
