SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 51.88%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Monterrey had a probability of 23.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.66%) and 2-0 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Monterrey win it was 0-1 (6.81%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for River Plate in this match.
| Result | ||
| River Plate | Draw | Monterrey |
51.88% ( -0.02) | 24.17% ( -0) | 23.95% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.33% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.8% ( 0.04) | 48.2% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.65% ( 0.04) | 70.35% ( -0.04) |
| River Plate Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.44% ( 0.01) | 18.56% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 50.18% ( 0.01) | 49.82% ( -0.02) |
| Monterrey Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.04) | 34.52% ( -0.04) |
