SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.14% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.48%) and 1-0 (5.01%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.55%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Bayern Munich |
44.3% ( 0.5) | 21.56% ( -0.1) | 34.14% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 70.31% ( 0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.87% ( 0.38) | 29.13% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.87% ( 0.47) | 50.13% ( -0.47) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.91% ( 0.32) | 14.09% ( -0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 58.29% ( 0.63) | 41.71% ( -0.63) |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.84% ( -0.01) | 18.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 50.86% ( -0.02) | 49.13% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Bayern Munich |
| 2-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.48% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 5.01% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0)3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.68% ( 0.06)4-2 @ 2.29% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.05% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.74% Total : 44.3% | 1-1 @ 8.55% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 7.15% ( 0)3-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.03)0-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.56% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.1)1-3 @ 4.15% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 4.07% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.72% ( -0.09)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.02)2-4 @ 1.73% 3-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.88% Total : 34.14% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 2 | 9 | 12 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 10 |
| 4 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Arsenal | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 6 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 7 | Crystal Palace | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Brentford | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 | Aston Villa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 6 |
| 11 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 | Chelsea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 4 |
| 13 | Fulham | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 10 | -6 | 4 |
| 14 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3 |
| 16 | Bournemouth | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 2 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 1 |
| 18 | Everton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 1 |
| 19 | Luton TownLuton | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 9 | -7 | 0 |
| 20 | Burnley | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 11 | -8 | 0 |
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