SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 65.21%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Bodo/Glimt had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.84%) and 3-1 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.6%), while for a Bodo/Glimt win it was 1-2 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for FC Twente in this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
65.21% ( 0.01) | 17.95% ( -0) | 16.84% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.7% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.67% ( -0.02) | 29.32% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.63% ( -0.02) | 50.37% ( 0.02) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.47% ( -0.01) | 8.52% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.48% ( -0.01) | 29.51% ( 0) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.64% ( -0.02) | 30.36% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.45% ( -0.02) | 66.54% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
| 2-1 @ 9.35% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.84% ( 0)3-1 @ 7.68% 3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0)1-0 @ 6.37% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 4.73% 3-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)4-0 @ 3.96% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.33% 5-0 @ 1.95% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.39% ( -0)4-3 @ 1.12% ( -0)6-1 @ 0.96% Other @ 3.71% Total : 65.21% | 1-1 @ 7.6% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.57% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.59% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0)Other @ 0.38% Total : 17.95% | 1-2 @ 4.53% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 1.84% 1-3 @ 1.8% ( -0)Other @ 3.37% Total : 16.84% |
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