SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.1%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Besiktas had a probability of 16.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%), while for a Besiktas win it was 1-2 (4.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that FC Twente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | Besiktas |
64.1% ( 0.43) | 19.52% ( -0.17) | 16.38% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 56.48% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.96% ( 0.35) | 38.04% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.7% ( 0.37) | 60.3% ( -0.37) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.77% ( 0.21) | 11.23% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.21% ( 0.47) | 35.79% ( -0.47) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.62% ( -0.09) | 36.38% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.83% ( -0.09) | 73.17% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | Besiktas |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.2% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 7.12% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 3.94% ( 0.06)4-0 @ 3.89% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.99% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.05)Other @ 4.33% Total : 64.1% | 1-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0)Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.52% | 1-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.13% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 16.38% |
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