SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bodo/Glimt win with a probability of 63.38%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Maccabi Tel Aviv had a probability of 17.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bodo/Glimt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 3-1 (7.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.12%), while for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bodo/Glimt would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
63.38% ( -0.42) | 18.77% ( 0.12) | 17.86% ( 0.31) |
| Both teams to score 62.74% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.53% ( 0) | 31.47% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.05% | 52.95% ( 0.01) |
| Bodo/Glimt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.47% ( -0.09) | 9.53% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.07% ( -0.23) | 31.93% ( 0.23) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( 0.32) | 30.66% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( 0.38) | 66.9% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.07% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 2.6% 5-1 @ 2.07% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.04)5-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)4-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.9% Total : 63.38% | 1-1 @ 8.12% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.05)0-0 @ 2.92% 3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.34% Total : 18.77% | 1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 3.45% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.45% Total : 17.86% |
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