Both Vitesse and AZ will head into Thursday's fixture in high spirits after coming from behind to progress on aggregate in the semi-finals.
The two teams played out a goalless draw at the Gelredome earlier this season and another draw could be on the cards on this occasion, considering there is little to separate them.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Vitesse had a probability of 37.86% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Vitesse win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
