SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Utrecht win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 34.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Utrecht win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.73%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for FC Utrecht in this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
34.29% ( -0.04) | 24.08% ( -0.01) | 41.63% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 60.69% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.31% ( 0.06) | 41.68% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.91% ( 0.05) | 64.08% ( -0.05) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.07% ( 0.01) | 23.92% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.86% ( 0.01) | 58.14% ( -0) |
| FC Utrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.77% ( 0.05) | 20.23% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.45% ( 0.07) | 52.55% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Utrecht |
| 2-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.92% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 4.95% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.35% 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.29% | 1-1 @ 11.06% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)Other @ 0.25% Total : 24.08% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.73% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.71% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.29% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.88% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 2.97% Total : 41.63% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 19 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 43 | 16 | 27 | 42 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 41 | 25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 19 | 12 | 2 | 5 | 47 | 23 | 24 | 38 |
| 4 | Ajax | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 51 | 21 | 30 | 37 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 31 | 12 | 19 | 36 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 30 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 25 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 19 | 4 | 11 | 4 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 23 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 19 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 19 | 6 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 43 | -23 | 19 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 19 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 34 | -19 | 15 |
| 17 | Cambuur | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 11 | 30 | -19 | 12 |
| 18 | Groningen | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 12 |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
