SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 7 | RKC Waalwijk | 7 | 5 | 9 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Utrecht | 7 | -1 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | AZ Alkmaar | 6 | 7 | 14 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 6 | 8 | 13 |
| 6 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 1 | 10 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 40.31%. A win for FC Twente had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.61%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest FC Twente win was 0-1 (9.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heerenveen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
40.31% ( -0.07) | 26.2% ( 0) | 33.49% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.62% ( 0.01) | 51.37% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.8% ( 0) | 73.19% ( -0) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.9% ( -0.03) | 25.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.21% ( -0.04) | 59.79% ( 0.04) |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.95% ( 0.04) | 29.05% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.04% ( 0.06) | 64.96% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heerenveen | Draw | FC Twente |
| 1-0 @ 10.07% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.61% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.37% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.11% ( -0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 40.3% | 1-1 @ 12.45% 0-0 @ 7.29% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.32% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.57% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.3% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.19% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 33.49% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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