SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 39.77%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.26%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
39.77% ( 0.17) | 27.28% ( -0.07) | 32.95% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 49.6% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.17% ( 0.24) | 55.83% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.05% ( 0.2) | 76.95% ( -0.2) |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.55% ( 0.21) | 27.45% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.06% ( 0.27) | 62.94% ( -0.27) |
| Heerenveen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 0.05) | 31.63% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 31.96% ( 0.06) | 68.04% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | Heerenveen |
| 1-0 @ 11.22% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.16% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.76% | 1-1 @ 12.92% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.08)2-2 @ 4.81% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.28% | 0-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 7.44% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.85% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.87% Total : 32.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
| 3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
| 4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
| 10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
| 13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
| R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
| R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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