Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 41.83%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 32.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.18%). The likeliest Groningen win was 1-0 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
32.3% ( -1.58) | 25.87% ( 0.63) | 41.83% ( 0.95) |
Both teams to score 53.86% ( -2.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.7% ( -3.14) | 50.3% ( 3.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.75% ( -2.85) | 72.24% ( 2.85) |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -2.53) | 29.28% ( 2.53) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% ( -3.22) | 65.25% ( 3.22) |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.16% ( -0.9) | 23.84% ( 0.9) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.98% ( -1.31) | 58.01% ( 1.31) |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
1-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.48) 2-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.31) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( -0.36) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.33) 3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.19) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.19) Other @ 2.5% Total : 32.3% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.37) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.19) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.87% | 0-1 @ 10% ( 0.97) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 7.18% ( 0.52) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.03) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.93% Total : 41.82% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Feyenoord | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 81 | 30 | 51 | 82 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 89 | 40 | 49 | 75 |
3 | Ajax | 34 | 20 | 9 | 5 | 86 | 38 | 48 | 69 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 35 | 33 | 67 |
5 | FC Twente | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 66 | 27 | 39 | 64 |
6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 60 | 37 | 23 | 59 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 54 |
8 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44 | 50 | -6 | 46 |
9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 50 | 64 | -14 | 41 |
10 | Vitesse | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 45 | 50 | -5 | 40 |
11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 56 | -10 | 40 |
12 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 8 | 15 | 11 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 39 |
13 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 36 |
14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 42 | 71 | -29 | 36 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 34 | 9 | 5 | 20 | 32 | 71 | -39 | 32 |
16 | EmmenEmmen | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 65 | -32 | 28 |
R | Cambuur | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 26 | 69 | -43 | 19 |
R | Groningen | 34 | 4 | 6 | 24 | 31 | 75 | -44 | 18 |
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