Groningen's strong home form, built on defensive solidity, gives them a fighting chance, while NEC, buoyed by their recent success against the hosts and their current form, enters with added confidence, setting the stage for a tight, low-scoring draw.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 44.63%. A win for NEC had a probability of 29.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.11%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.
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