Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 48.69%. A win for Heerenveen had a probability of 26.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Heerenveen win was 0-1 (7.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
Result | ||
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
48.69% (![]() | 24.49% (![]() | 26.82% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% (![]() | 47.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% (![]() | 69.38% (![]() |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.58% (![]() | 19.42% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.75% (![]() | 51.25% (![]() |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.42% (![]() | 31.57% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.02% (![]() | 67.98% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Groningen | Draw | Heerenveen |
1-0 @ 10.04% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.49% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.84% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 3.05% Total : 48.68% | 1-1 @ 11.58% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.13% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.47% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.48% | 0-1 @ 7.07% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.68% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.07% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.57% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.1% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.57% ( ![]() Other @ 2.77% Total : 26.82% |
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