SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.19%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-3 (7.18%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.11% ( -0) | 19.69% ( -0) | 60.19% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 63.56% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.73% ( 0.01) | 32.26% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.12% ( 0.01) | 53.87% ( -0.01) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% | 28.95% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( -0) | 64.84% ( 0) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.46% ( 0) | 10.53% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.76% ( 0.01) | 34.23% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.27% ( -0) 1-0 @ 3.78% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0)2-0 @ 2.34% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.18% ( -0)3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.12% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 7.18% ( 0)0-1 @ 6.86% ( -0)0-3 @ 5.8% ( 0)2-3 @ 4.45% 1-4 @ 4.04% ( 0)0-4 @ 3.26% ( 0)2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0)1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.47% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.13% ( 0)3-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.19% |
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