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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 79.48%. A draw had a probability of 12.4% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 8.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 0-3 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.93%) and 1-3 (8.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.39%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 2-1 (2.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
8.11% ( 0.15) | 12.41% ( -0.01) | 79.48% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( 0.9) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 75.23% ( 0.67) | 24.77% ( -0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.87) | 44.62% ( -0.87) |
| PEC Zwolle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.81% ( 0.88) | 40.19% ( -0.88) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.17% ( 0.79) | 76.83% ( -0.79) |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 95.14% ( 0.11) | 4.86% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 80.44% ( 0.32) | 19.56% ( -0.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| PEC Zwolle | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 2.45% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.75% Total : 8.11% | 1-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 1.95% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.05)Other @ 0.22% Total : 12.41% | 0-3 @ 9% ( -0.2) 0-2 @ 8.93% ( -0.26)1-3 @ 8.21% ( 0.02)1-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 6.81% ( -0.1)1-4 @ 6.2% ( 0.06)0-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.22)0-5 @ 4.12% ( -0.03)1-5 @ 3.75% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.1)2-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.09)0-6 @ 2.08% 1-6 @ 1.89% ( 0.04)2-5 @ 1.71% ( 0.07)Other @ 6.16% Total : 79.48% |
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