SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 22.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.83%), while for a Fortuna Sittard win it was 0-1 (7.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Groningen in this match.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
52.71% ( -0.14) | 24.95% ( 0.04) | 22.34% ( 0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.07% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.11% ( -0.04) | 52.89% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.49% ( -0.04) | 74.5% ( 0.04) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.95% ( -0.07) | 20.05% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.73% ( -0.12) | 52.27% ( 0.12) |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.38% ( 0.08) | 38.62% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.64% ( 0.08) | 75.36% ( -0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 1-0 @ 12.44% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.36% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.42% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.74% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 24.94% | 0-1 @ 7.37% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.5% Total : 22.34% |
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