Despite Fortuna Sittard having a superior record in this fixture and placing much higher in the table than the hosts, RKC Waalwijk have been in greater form in recent weeks, leading us to expect a home win.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.