SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Cambuur had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.22%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Cambuur win was 1-2 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
40.06% ( -0.35) | 24.69% ( -0.02) | 35.25% ( 0.38) |
| Both teams to score 58.69% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.62% ( 0.16) | 44.37% ( -0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.25% ( 0.16) | 66.75% ( -0.16) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.88% ( -0.1) | 22.12% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 44.51% ( -0.15) | 55.49% ( 0.15) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.36% ( 0.29) | 24.64% ( -0.29) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.85% ( 0.4) | 59.15% ( -0.4) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Cambuur |
| 2-1 @ 8.69% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 6.2% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.37% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.12% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 2.42% Total : 40.06% | 1-1 @ 11.51% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.68% | 1-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.35% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 3.77% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.25% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 9 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 30 | 3 | 27 | 27 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 9 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 25 | 4 | 21 | 25 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 32 | 6 | 26 | 23 |
| 4 | FC Twente | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 6 | 13 | 22 |
| 5 | Go Ahead Eagles | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 15 |
| 7 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 16 | 15 | 1 | 13 |
| 8 | Heracles | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 22 | -8 | 12 |
| 9 | PEC Zwolle | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12 | 17 | -5 | 11 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 13 | 21 | -8 | 10 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 10 |
| 12 | NECNijmegen | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 9 |
| 13 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 17 | -10 | 9 |
| 14 | Almere CityAlmere City | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19 | -11 | 9 |
| 15 | Vitesse | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | -9 | 8 |
| 16 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8 | 20 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 | Ajax | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 16 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 | FC VolendamVolendam | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 18 | -10 | 4 |
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