SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 61.05%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Groningen had a probability of 19.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.86%) and 1-3 (7.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.44%), while for a Groningen win it was 2-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-3 win for Feyenoord in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Feyenoord.
| Result | ||
| Groningen | Draw | Feyenoord |
19.47% ( 0.18) | 19.48% ( -0.29) | 61.05% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 63.18% ( 1.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.74% ( 1.7) | 32.26% ( -1.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 46.13% ( 1.95) | 53.86% ( -1.96) |
| Groningen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.44% ( 1.2) | 29.55% ( -1.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.42% ( 1.44) | 65.57% ( -1.44) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.68% ( 0.53) | 10.31% ( -0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 66.25% ( 1.19) | 33.75% ( -1.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Groningen | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 3.72% ( -0.22)3-2 @ 2.38% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 2.27% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 19.47% | 1-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.3) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.12)0-0 @ 3.05% ( -0.29)3-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.13)Other @ 0.35% Total : 19.48% | 1-2 @ 9.59% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.86% ( -0.36)1-3 @ 7.26% ( 0.07)0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.48)0-3 @ 5.96% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 4.43% ( 0.19)1-4 @ 4.12% ( 0.13)0-4 @ 3.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 2.51% ( 0.16)1-5 @ 1.87% ( 0.1)0-5 @ 1.54% ( 0.03)2-5 @ 1.14% ( 0.1)3-4 @ 1.02% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.45% Total : 61.05% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 23 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 53 | 22 | 31 | 52 |
| 2 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 24 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 50 | 28 | 22 | 50 |
| 3 | Ajax | 23 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 65 | 23 | 42 | 49 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 23 | 14 | 4 | 5 | 60 | 28 | 32 | 46 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 36 | 18 | 18 | 40 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 23 | 10 | 7 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 37 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 37 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 23 | 6 | 12 | 5 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 30 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 29 | -5 | 30 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31 | 41 | -10 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 23 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 28 | 42 | -14 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 23 | 5 | 5 | 13 | 25 | 52 | -27 | 20 |
| 15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 23 | 6 | 2 | 15 | 20 | 54 | -34 | 20 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 23 | 3 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 40 | -20 | 18 |
| 17 | Groningen | 23 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 23 | 3 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 39 | -26 | 13 |
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