SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Feyenoord win with a probability of 68.87%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for FC Volendam had a probability of 14.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Feyenoord win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.36%) and 1-3 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.21%), while for a FC Volendam win it was 2-1 (3.99%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Feyenoord would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Volendam | Draw | Feyenoord |
14.32% ( 0.04) | 16.81% ( -0.03) | 68.87% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 61.79% ( 0.25) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 71% ( 0.26) | 28.99% ( -0.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 50.03% ( 0.32) | 49.97% ( -0.31) |
| FC Volendam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.93% ( 0.22) | 33.07% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 30.34% ( 0.25) | 69.66% ( -0.25) |
| Feyenoord Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.32% ( 0.07) | 7.67% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 72.61% ( 0.16) | 27.38% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Volendam | Draw | Feyenoord |
| 2-1 @ 3.99% ( 0) 1-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.89% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 1.55% ( -0)3-1 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 14.32% | 1-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 2.54% ( -0.04)3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.32% Total : 16.81% | 1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 8.36% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 7.92% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.16% ( -0.04)0-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.08)1-4 @ 5.08% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 4.59% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 4.38% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 2.81% ( 0.03)1-5 @ 2.61% ( 0.02)0-5 @ 2.36% ( 0)2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.02)1-6 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)3-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.02)0-6 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 3.22% Total : 68.87% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Feyenoord | 25 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 56 | 23 | 33 | 58 |
| 2 | Ajax | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 70 | 25 | 45 | 55 |
| 3 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 25 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 51 | 28 | 23 | 53 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 66 | 30 | 36 | 52 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 25 | 12 | 8 | 5 | 42 | 21 | 21 | 44 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 25 | 12 | 7 | 6 | 39 | 27 | 12 | 43 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 38 |
| 8 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 39 | 37 | 2 | 32 |
| 9 | NECNijmegen | 25 | 6 | 13 | 6 | 32 | 25 | 7 | 31 |
| 10 | Heerenveen | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 29 | 36 | -7 | 31 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 29 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 26 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 23 |
| 14 | FC VolendamVolendam | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | 29 | 55 | -26 | 23 |
| 15 | EmmenEmmen | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 23 | 43 | -20 | 21 |
| 16 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 21 | 60 | -39 | 20 |
| 17 | Groningen | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 50 | -25 | 17 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 25 | 4 | 4 | 17 | 19 | 45 | -26 | 16 |
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