SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 45.33%. A win for NEC had a probability of 29.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.23%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cambuur | Draw | NEC |
45.33% ( -0.09) | 24.69% ( 0.01) | 29.97% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 56.67% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.85% ( -0.01) | 46.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.56% ( -0.01) | 68.44% ( 0.02) |
| Cambuur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.56% ( -0.04) | 20.44% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 47.11% ( -0.07) | 52.89% ( 0.07) |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.23% ( 0.05) | 28.77% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.39% ( 0.06) | 64.61% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cambuur | Draw | NEC |
| 1-0 @ 9.34% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.23% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.89% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 45.33% | 1-1 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.88% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.75% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.33% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.56% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.9% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 2.61% Total : 29.97% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 21 | 13 | 5 | 3 | 46 | 25 | 21 | 44 |
| 2 | Feyenoord | 20 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 45 | 18 | 27 | 43 |
| 3 | Ajax | 20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 56 | 21 | 35 | 40 |
| 4 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 50 | 25 | 25 | 39 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 20 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 13 | 19 | 37 |
| 6 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 20 | 9 | 7 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 34 |
| 7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 33 |
| 8 | Heerenveen | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 27 |
| 9 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 20 | 6 | 8 | 6 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 26 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 21 | 4 | 12 | 5 | 24 | 22 | 2 | 24 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 23 |
| 12 | Go Ahead Eagles | 20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 22 |
| 13 | Vitesse | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 37 | -12 | 20 |
| 14 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 21 | 6 | 2 | 13 | 20 | 48 | -28 | 20 |
| 15 | FC VolendamVolendam | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 17 |
| 16 | EmmenEmmen | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 36 | -19 | 16 |
| 17 | Groningen | 20 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 21 | 42 | -21 | 13 |
| 18 | Cambuur | 21 | 3 | 4 | 14 | 11 | 35 | -24 | 13 |
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